# Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

Created: | 2010-08-13 16:24 |
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Institution: | Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences |

Description: | Our best estimates of future climate are based on the use of complex computer models that do not explicitly resolve the wide variety of spatio-temporal scales making up Earth's climate system. The non-linearity of the governing physical processes allows energy transfer between different scales, and many aspects of this complex behaviour can be represented by stochastic models. However, the theoretical basis for so doing is far from complete. Many uncertainties remain in predictions derived from climate models, yet governments are increasingly reliant on model predictions to inform mitigation and adaptation strategies. An overarching aim of climate scientists is to reduce the uncertainty in climate predictions and produce credible assessments of model accuracy. This programme focuses on two key themes that both require the close collaboration of mathematicians, statisticians and climate scientists in order to improve climate models and the interpretation of their output.
Read more at http://www.newton.ac.uk/programmes/CLP/index.html |

# Media items

This collection contains 82 media items.

### Media items

#### A perspective on turbulent flows: cascade dynamics in rotating flows

Zhou, Y (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory)

Thursday 14 October 2010, 14:00-15:00

**Collection**:
Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

**Institution**:
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

**Created**:
Mon 18 Oct 2010

#### A statistical emulator for HadCM3

Rougier, J (Bristol)

Tuesday 07 December 2010, 11:00-11:40

**Collection**:
Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

**Institution**:
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

**Created**:
Wed 8 Dec 2010

#### A variance constraining Kalman filter for data assimilation

Gottwald, G (Sydney)

Tuesday 12 October 2010, 10:00-11:00

**Collection**:
Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

**Institution**:
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

**Created**:
Mon 18 Oct 2010

#### A very grand challenge for the science of climate prediction

Palmer, T (ECMWF)

Monday 23 August 2010, 10:00-11:00

**Collection**:
Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

**Institution**:
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

**Created**:
Tue 24 Aug 2010

#### Adventures in Emulation

Challenor, P (National Oceanography Centre)

Tuesday 07 December 2010, 17:00-17:30

**Collection**:
Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

**Institution**:
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

**Created**:
Thu 9 Dec 2010

#### After Climategate & Cancun; What Next for Climate Science?

Tim Palmer (Oxford/Cambridge)

Monday 6 December 2010, 17:00-18:00

**Collection**:
Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

**Institution**:
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

**Created**:
Tue 7 Dec 2010

#### Application of the Maximum Entropy Production principle to turbulent fluid mechanics and planetary systems

Niven, R (New South Wales)

Friday 26 November 2010, 10:00-11:00

**Collection**:
Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

**Institution**:
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

**Created**:
Mon 6 Dec 2010

#### Aspects of long-range forecasting and ENSO

Davey, M (University College London)

Monday 25 October 2010, 10:00-11:00

**Collection**:
Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

**Institution**:
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

**Created**:
Tue 26 Oct 2010

#### Assessing climate uncertainty: models, meaning and methods

Goldstein, M (Durham)

Tuesday 07 December 2010, 11:40-12:30

**Collection**:
Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

**Institution**:
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

**Created**:
Wed 8 Dec 2010

#### Bayesian calibration of the Thermosphere-Ionosphere Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIE-GCM)

Guillas, S (UCL)

Thursday 07 October 2010, 14:00-15:00

**Collection**:
Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

**Institution**:
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

**Created**:
Fri 8 Oct 2010

#### Bayesian estimation of the climate sensitivity based on a simple climate model fitted to global temperature observations

Aldrin, M (Norwegian Computing Centre)

Wednesday 08 December 2010, 12:00-12:30

**Collection**:
Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

**Institution**:
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

**Created**:
Thu 9 Dec 2010

#### Biases and uncertainty in multi-model climate projections

Kunsch, H (ETH Zürich)

Wednesday 25 August 2010, 15:30-16:30

**Collection**:
Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

**Institution**:
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

**Created**:
Thu 26 Aug 2010

#### Changes in weather and climate systems, predictable and unpredictable

Hunt, J (University College London)

Thursday 21 October 2010, 10:00-11:00

**Collection**:
Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

**Institution**:
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

**Created**:
Thu 21 Oct 2010

#### Climate change Down Under: challenges, opportunities and uncertainty

Bates, B; Chandler, R (CMAR/UCL)

Tuesday 16 November 2010, 10:00-11:00

**Collection**:
Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

**Institution**:
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

**Created**:
Tue 23 Nov 2010

#### Climate Change Question Time: Estimating and reducing uncertainty in climate prediction: key findings from the Newton...

Tim Palmer (University of Oxford, and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts)

Wednesday 24 November 2010, 14:05-14:30

**Collection**:
Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

**Institution**:
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

**Created**:
Fri 17 Dec 2010

#### Climate Change Question Time: Policy in the face of the uncertainties

Climate Change Question Time: Panel Discussion

Wednesday 24 November 2010, 16:30-18:00

**Collection**:
Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

**Institution**:
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

**Created**:
Fri 10 Dec 2010

#### Climate Change Question Time: The scientific uncertainties and their implications

Climate Change Question Time: Panel Discussion

Wednesday 24 November 2010, 14:30-16:00

**Collection**:
Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

**Institution**:
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

**Created**:
Tue 21 Dec 2010

#### Climate entropy production based on AOGCM diagnostics

Gregory, J (University of Reading)

Thursday 26 August 2010, 14:00-15:00

**Collection**:
Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

**Institution**:
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

**Created**:
Thu 26 Aug 2010

#### Climate Investments optimized under uncertainty

Held, H (PIK)

Thursday 09 December 2010, 16:10-17:00

**Collection**:
Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

**Institution**:
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

**Created**:
Fri 10 Dec 2010

#### Climate modelling at Quaternary time scales

Crucifix, M (Universite Catholique de Louvain)

Tuesday 07 December 2010, 09:30-10:30

**Collection**:
Mathematical and Statistical Approaches to Climate Modelling and Prediction

**Institution**:
Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences

**Created**:
Wed 8 Dec 2010