The art of asking the right question, not the science of giving the right answer

Duration: 10 mins 10 secs
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Description: Has risk modelling and risk management lost its way? Professor Stefan Scholtes argues that contrary to popular belief, the risk management models in use today are not too simple - they are in fact far too complex. The goal of risk modelling, he says, is not and should never be to replicate a complex reality in a complex model. The fundamental flaw in using risk modelling in this way has been clearly revealed by the banking crisis. What we need, he argues, is a complementary balance between modelling and intuition; models that relate to and enforce our mental abilities, not replace them.
 
Created: 2010-06-15 16:30
Collection: Cambridge Judge Business School Discussions on Risk
Publisher: Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge
Copyright: Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge
Language: eng (English)
Credits:
Producer:  Boni Sones OBE
Author:  Professor Stefan Scholtes
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